Alignment-Based Certification Protocol

CERTIFIEDFAIRMARKETS

Mathematical framework for prediction market integrity. Blockchain-verified. Tamper-proof.

TRY PLAYGROUNDPRICING

The Core Principle

sign(∂B/∂M)= sign(∂P/∂M)

A market is approved only when betting payoff direction aligns with win probability direction. Misalignment creates moral hazard.

The Problem

$187B
at risk

Match-fixing scandals threaten the integrity of sports betting worldwide. Current market structures allow bets that create perverse incentives.

NBA2024

Jontay Porter lifetime ban for intentionally underperforming to win prop bets

Read article →
MLB2024

Pitchers indicted for rigging pitches — Senate inquiry launched

Read article →
Tennis2023

180+ players involved in match-fixing ring

Read article →
Soccer2024

1,108 suspicious matches identified globally

Read article →

Approved vs Prohibited

Approved
Player OVER 30 points
Team to win championship
QB OVER 300 passing yards
Pitcher OVER 8 strikeouts
Prohibited
Player OVER 5 turnovers
Manager to be fired
QB OVER 2 interceptions
Team to lose by 20+

On-Chain Proof

Every certification recorded on NERO Chain. Transparent, immutable, verifiable by anyone.

Instant Analysis

Rule-based classification in ~1ms. LLM fallback for edge cases. Human review as final gate.

Regulatory Ready

Built for CFTC, UK Gambling Commission, and global regulatory frameworks.

Try it yourself

Certify any prediction market against the ABCP standard in real-time.

OPEN PLAYGROUND

Disclaimer

ABCP is an open protocol for market integrity classification. It is not a licensed financial product, regulatory body, or compliance authority. No certification issued through ABCP constitutes legal approval or regulatory endorsement. ABCP is designed as an industry tool to support voluntary self-regulation by providing transparent, mathematically grounded standards for evaluating prediction market structures. Platforms integrating ABCP do so at their own discretion and remain solely responsible for compliance with applicable laws and regulations in their jurisdictions. The protocol is provided as-is, without warranty. Nothing herein constitutes financial, legal, or regulatory advice.